Mavericks vs. Rockets Predictions, Odds & Stats – Oct. 21

Oklahoma City Thunder v Houston Rockets

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The Houston Rockets will open their 2026-27 season favored by 9.5 points against the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on .

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Mavericks vs. Rockets Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final result of Rockets 122, Mavericks 106.

  • Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-420)
  • Total Pick: Under 230.5 (computer predicts 228.6 points)
  • Pick ATS: Rockets (-9.5)

Recent Mavericks vs. Rockets Matchups

Rockets vs Mavericks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/31/2026 Rockets -10.5 222.5 -413 +320 111-107 HOU
1/3/2026 Rockets -8 227.5 -321 +257 110-104 DAL
12/6/2025 Rockets -6.5 221.5 -268 +218 122-109 DAL
11/3/2025 Rockets -12.5 225.5 -667 +484 110-102 HOU

Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Houston was 36-46-0 against the spread last season.
  • The Rockets went 9-16 as 9.5-point favorites or greater last season.
  • Houston had 39 of its 82 games go over the point total last season.
  • The Rockets put together a 48-24 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 66.7% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -420 or shorter last year, Houston had a record of 17-5 (77.3%).

Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Dallas put together a 37-45-0 ATS record last season.
  • The Mavericks went 11-11 as underdogs of 9.5 points or greater last year.
  • A total of 37 of Dallas' games last season hit the over.
  • Last season, the Mavericks won 15 out of the 59 games, or 25.4%, in which they were the underdog.
  • Dallas had a record of 4-15, a 21.1% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +328 or more by bookmakers last season.

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Mavericks vs. Rockets Injury Report

Rockets

Rockets:

Julian Phillips: Questionable (Illness),

Steven Adams: Questionable (Calf)

Mavericks

Mavericks:

Dereck Lively II: Out (Foot),

Santi Aldama: Out (Knee),

Tarik Biberovic: Out (Heel),

Caleb Martin: Out (Thumb),

Jett Howard: Questionable (Calf)

Mavericks vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
  • Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel:
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Arena: Toyota Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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