The Dallas Stars (4-0) visit the Washington Capitals (1-1) at Capital One Arena on Thursday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Stars have won four games in a row.

Sign up for ESPN+ today to watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more.

Here's our pick for who will capture the win in Thursday's game.

Stars vs. Capitals Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final result of Capitals 4, Stars 2.

Moneyline Pick: Capitals (+134)
Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.6 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Capitals (+1.5)

Watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more streaming all season on ESPN+.

Stars Splits and Trends

The Stars finished 14-11-25 in overtime games last season on their way to an overall record of 52-21-9.
Dallas was 23-10-9 (55 points) in its 42 games decided by one goal.
In the 13 games last season the Stars recorded just one goal, they went 2-10-1 (five points).
Dallas scored exactly two goals in 14 games last season (6-4-4 record, 16 points).
The Stars scored more than two goals in 70 games (54-10-6, 114 points).
In the 36 games when Dallas scored a lone power-play goal, it had a 24-9-3 record (51 points).
In the 58 games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas was 39-14-5 (83 points).
The Stars were outshot by their opponent in 39 games, going 22-11-6 to register 50 points.

Capitals Splits and Trends

The Capitals put up a record of 8-11-19 in overtime games last season to contribute to an overall mark of 40-31-11.
In the 25 games Washington played that were decided by one goal, it picked up 38 points.
In 15 games last season when the Capitals ended up with just one goal, they picked up three points (1-13-1).
Washington picked up 26 points (10-10-6 record) last season when scoring exactly two goals .
The Capitals scored at least three goals in 39 games, earning 62 points from those contests.
Last season Washington scored a lone power-play goal in 28 games, posting a record of 13-11-4.
When it outshot its opponent last season, Washington posted a record of 11-10-5 (27 points).
The Capitals were outshot by their opponents in 59 games last season, going 28-25-6 to record 62 points.

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison (2023-24)

The A-Team w/ Wexler & Clanton